Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Banks saved, but Europe risks 'losing a generation'

Reuters | Updated On: March 11, 2013 19:50 (IST)
Brussels: Europe has spent hundreds of billions of euros rescuing its banks but may have lost an entire generation of young people in the process, the president of the European Parliament said. 
Since the region's debt crisis erupted in Greece in late 2009, the European Union has created complex rescue mechanisms to prop up distressed countries and their shaky banking sectors, setting aside a total of 700 billion euros. But little has been done to tackle the devastating social impact of the crisis, with more than 26 million people unemployed across the EU, including one in every two young people in Greece, Spain and parts of Italy and Portugal. That crippling level of unemployment has led to protests and outbreaks of violence across southern Europe, raising the threat of full-scale social breakdown, including rising crime and anti-immigrant attacks that can further rattle unstable governments.
"We saved the banks but are running the risk of losing a generation," said Martin Schulz, a German socialist who has led the European Parliament, the EU's only directly elected institution, since January last year. "One of the biggest threats to the European Union is that people entirely lose their confidence in the capacity of the EU to solve their problems. And if the younger generation is losing trust, then in my eyes the European Union is in real danger," he told Reuters in an interview.
European Union heads of state and government will discuss the fallout from the debt crisis at a summit on March 14-15.There are plans for a "youth employment guarantee", which would ensure that people under 25 receive either an offer of work, further education or work-related training at least four months after leaving education or being employed. That is part of a 6-billion-euro initiative to tackle youth unemployment in the worst-hit regions of Europe and head off the prospect of life-long joblessness. But political analysts say it is a case of too little, too late.

"THREAT TO THE UNION"

Over the past 40 years, rising incomes in countries such as Spain, Greece, Italy and Portugal have allowed working class families to invest ever more in education, with the expectation that their children would be better placed as a result. The ability of young people to study and work anywhere in Europe as part of the EU's single market ideal was also supposed to deliver vastly improved opportunities for all. 
But instead, as a result of the banking and debt crisis that has cast a shadow over Europe since 2008, those sunny prospects never materialised for millions of young people. "Greece, Spain and Italy have perhaps the best educated generations they have ever had in their countries, their parents invested a lot of money in the education of their children, everything they did was right," said Mr Schulz."And now they are ready to work the society says, 'No place for you'. We are creating a lost generation."Asked how he would tackle the issue, the Socialist party leader said it was in part about cutting through bureaucracy and putting money to work directly where it was needed. He gave the example of Greece and investment in solar energy. If traditional methods are followed, a decision is made in Brussels, money is mobilised somewhere else, an investment programme is drawn up, the money is disbursed to the central government in Athens, then goes to several ministries, and finally ends up with a local or regional authorities to invest. 
"By that time, we are much older," he added. "In my mind, direct links between the European Union and regional and local authorities is more needed than ever", said Mr Schulz. The alternative is a system that puts the social fabric of Europe under ever greater strain, resulting in the dire youth unemployment statistics now prevalent in Greece, he said.

Copyright @ Thomson Reuters 2013
http://profit.ndtv.com/news/international-business/article-banks-saved-but-europe-risks-losing-a-generation-319314?pfrom=home-otherstories 

HCL - DOJ.. SOCIAL MEDIA...


HCL issue: Social media fans nation-wide campaign

T. E. RAJA SIMHAN
Students staging a protest in front of HCL Technologies Office in Chennai on Monday. — S.S. KumarCHENNAI, MARCH 11:  
Developing applications for clients around social media sites such as Facebook and Twitter is a focus area for HCL Technologies.But, little would the company have realised that those to whom it had given job offers would use Facebook to create a pan-India stir against the company for the delay in taking them on board. Around 70 fresh graduate students assembled near HCL’s Haddows Road office in Chennai this morning demanding that they be hired immediately. HCL was supposed to take them on board last April but now says they will be hired in August, said an agitating student.“Thanks to forming a group in Facebook, the affected persons could assemble here to put pressure on the company to recruit us,” said an agitator. The agitators were from Chennai, Erode and Karur, and from remote places in Andhra Pradesh, he said. “We could not go to any other company for a job, as we wasted nearly a year,” he said.
A banner read, ‘Give back one year or take me in April.’ Another said, “We do not want speeches. We want jobs. Give value to our feelings.”“When we protested last week, the company said that they would come back to us in two days. However, there was no word from them,” said the person who did not want to be quoted as it could affect his chance of getting into the company. “My batch mate got placed in Tata Consultancy Services and has started earning for the last two months. There is enormous pressure on me from my family to start earning,” said another tense-looking potential agitator, who took a break to have a cup of tea from a nearby shop.
raja.simhan@thehindu.co.in 
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/info-tech/hcl-issue-social-media-fans-nationwide-campaign/article4497737.ece?homepage=true

HIGHS...Highest Levels...S&P 500, FTSE..and more....



S&P 500 at highest level since Oct ‘07 

REUTERS: NEW YORK, MAR 12 2013, 01:06 IST
Wall Street inched higher on Monday as earlier weakness prompted some buying and investors pushed the S&P 500 to its highest intraday level since October 2007.

By midday, the Dow Jones industrial average and the S&P 500 were trading in positive territory, continuing last week’s rally that took the Dow to record highs. The S&P 500 is only about 1 percent away from its all-time closing high.In the first three months of the year, the benchmark S&P has gained nearly 9 percent.
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/s-p-500-at-highest-level-since-oct-07/1086594

Britain's FTSE scales 5-yr highs on strong U.S. data run

British equities rose to five-year highs on Monday, with a rally on Wall Street eclipsing concerns about political uncertainty in the euro zone and helping the FTSE 100 close above the key 6,500 points mark. The UK blue chip index closed up 20.05 points or 0.3 percent at 6,503.63, extending gains after the U.S. S&P 500 hit its strongest intraday levels since late 2007, continuing to draw comfort from Friday's forecast-beating U.S. jobs data. "We are just grinding higher on the back of stronger U.S. data that we keep seeing," said Adam Sea grave, equity trader at Saxon Bank. "For the right shares, people are still very happy to take stock on at these levels, but at some point we will probably have to pause for breath." Both the close and the intraday peak of 6,505.30 were the FTSE highest for more than five years, but technical charts showed scope for further gains. The index has powered through a string of resistance levels as it rallied some 15 percent in four months. "We remain positive with a target of 6,535 and an invalidation level at 6,412 points," analysts at chart specialists Day-By-Day said in a note. Underscoring the market's upward momentum, any dips - including the pause seen in the first half of Monday's trading session - have prompted strong buying interest.
"Much of the dip buying we have seen has been led by long-term investors. They still understand in the search for yield the equity market offers more upside than the negative real rate of return from the fixed-income market," said Fiat Latin, director of trading at Guardian Stockbrokers. Given the strong focus on yield, shares in Antofagasta were one of the top gainers, up 2.4 percent after analysts at Societe Generale said the miner could unveil a special dividend when it reports results on Tuesday. They upgraded the stock to 'hold'. Dividends are coming out as an increasingly popular investment theme, offering an alternative to ultra-low government bond yields. In UK, the chances of higher payouts have been increased by weakness in sterling, which increases the impact of exporters' foreign currency earnings. Banks were one of the few UK segments to sit out the broader market gains on Monday, hit by euro zone jitters. The sector, the most directly exposed to swings in the euro zone crisis through their sovereign debt holdings, fell 0.4 percent after Fitch cut Italy's credit rating, putting problems in the region back into the investor spotlight.
http://www.financialexpress.com/news/britains-ftse-scales-5yr-highs-on-strong-u.s.-data-run/1086718/2

Monday, March 11, 2013

NSE MD says...Insider trading is rampant in India...


Insider trading is rampant in India: Ravi Narain, MD, National Stock Exchange

Ravi Narain (58), MD & CEO, National Stock Exchange, hangs up his boots as chief executive this month end. During the two decades spent at the bourse, Narain has seen NSE becoming the world's largest exchange by the number of equity trades, the largest globally in currency trading and the second-largest globally in index options. But he will not be walking into the sunset; rather in a non-executive role as vice chairman, he will provide a helping hand to his successor Chitra Ramkrishna, now joint MD, if and when required. In an exclusive chat with ET, Narain, who became MD&CEO in mid-2000, talks about insider trading, taxing foreign investors and fat finger errors while welcoming the FM's announcement of setting up a committee to examine the global competitiveness of Indian financial markets. Excerpts: 
The cut in STT must have come as a welcome development, but was there anything in particular about the Budget that grabbed your attention? 
One piece of the Budget announcement that went relatively unnoticed was to set up a council that would look at international competitiveness of India's financial sector. I thought actually it went a little low key because of all the other announcements. This is hugely welcome in that it clearly has acquired attention in Delhi that we need to worry about the cost structure of India's financial sector. 
We are seeing an export of Indian financial markets to destinations where cost of transaction is substantially lower..... 
The export of markets is about many things - cost and the duties, and also about financial policies. All these are very neatly put in the terms of reference of the council. The larger point is that India is today a very large generator of demand for financial services of one kind or the other. We are potentially very competitive in the supply of those financial services. So, it's a very nice potential match but for that to happen we need to complete certain parameters and one of them is the cost structure. There are obviously other issues as well. For example, the really large deals very often can't be fully addressed within India because of balance sheet size. One is the sophistication end of products and services...we are gradually evolving towards that. But over a period of time the demand for financial services will continue to grow quite powerfully and given India's competitive advantage in this area it would be good for us to keep a very close eye on whatever we can do to make the supply side equally competitive....I am reading this is really what is behind the FM's announcement. 
Some years ago, the Mistry Committee talked of making Mumbai an international financial centre. Why are we lagging? 
There's some low hanging fruit in every report and there's some harder to do things. I mean if there's a legislative piece, that's going to find it's own path. So this is part of the problem that happened. And it's not just the Mistry report; the other was the Raghuram Rajan committee report. Even if one were to go back and revisit these two reports very carefully and look at them with a dispassionate, urgent eye I think one could do very significant things which will help to strengthen flows into the country. 
How do you think the issue of taxing foreign flows can be resolved? 
In all fairness this is not a tax haven issue in my view. This is a need to rethink the whole basis of taxation as being looked at in various parts of the world. This is about do you tax by residence or by source. It is not as if the investor is not paying tax anywhere in the world. There are some tax havens, agreed, but most of them are saying that there is a certain basis for their taxation that's applicable to them in terms of residence. Then if each country comes out with a different framework, and if some don't, it complicates life....It's more from their point of view to redress that they are taxable in one jurisdiction and if a second jurisdiction also applies tax it creates issues. 
India needs dollars and it's tough for us to ask the US to change their tax laws... 
It is a fact that much of the investible resources lie within the US and they are all flowing in different directions historically. But that is changing. Now you see fairly large investible funds in parts of the world other than the US. The world will gradually no longer remain largely US-centric for all global frameworks. There is no easy solution at this moment but it's time to start thinking about all this. It's a little longer term and complex problem but it has to be looked at in that framework otherwise this problem will repeat itself ad nauseum. 
Over the past 20 years we have seen different kinds of inflows. One conspiracy theory that has survived is that a large part of these flows could be round-tripping. Are such concerns being blown out of proportion? 
It's very hard to discount the possibility. But at the same time you don't want to end up with the tail wagging the dog. As a country of considerable substance India should create stable, consistent frameworks which will attract both domestic and foreign flows. If there is round tripping obviously we should have measures to go after those who are doing round tripping and not let it to subvert the larger policy framework. Having said that, I will add there is significant investor interest. Look at the number of countries interested in trading Nifty ETFs. That means there is significant broadbased interest. 
Sebi is setting up a committee on insider trading regulations. What are the areas you think need to be fixed? 
Insider trading is notoriously difficult to catch in just about any jurisdiction and what I have seen as a somewhat dispassionate observer of the larger markets is that they really go after the big guys. They have this clear ABC analysis that they will go after the really large attempts to do insider trading and smash those and so on and just ignore the little stuff. We've not always done that and I think if we tried that it would help control insider trading.
Second, of course is the ability to use technology to catch insider trading....We need to be a little more deft on that score and lot of that is not easy. For example, the ability to tap telephones, to tap emails. Ultimately if you see any cases which are cracked on insider trading that are big deals, they are all cracked because of this kind of surveillance. It's not about an exchange system catching them, it's really about tapping into networks and I think there has been some conversation around that. So that's the broad direction to catch insider trading. ........more.....

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/opinion/interviews/Taxing-foreign-inflows-is-not-a-tax-haven-issue-Ravi-Narain-MD-National-Stock-Exchange/articleshow/18901702.cms

Sunday, March 10, 2013

Goldman Sachs -‘overweight’-Nifty at 7,000 in a year



Goldman Sachs still ‘overweight’ on equities, sees Nifty at 7,000 in a year

Neither FIIs nor DIIs appear to be driving the market MUMBAI, MARCH 8:   Near-term macro concerns notwithstanding, global investment banking behemoth Goldman Sachs has retained its overweight view on Indian equities. Believing rupee to be more vulnerable than equities, the bank highlighted that the recent concerns around the Union Budget, widening current account deficit and slowing FII flows tend to impact the rupee to a greater degree than the equity market.The bank’s latest Portfolio Strategy Report said: “We retain our 3-month and 12-month overweight views on Indian equities despite near-term macro concerns which we expect may impact the rupee and Indian bond yields to a larger degree. Our view hinges upon two factors — a growth recovery on the horizon and a supportive equity valuations backdrop.” TURNING GROWTH CYCLE For the Nifty, the report has set a 12-month target of 7,000. “Recent CAI and PMI indicators suggest growth has troughed, suggesting the macro cycle is turning. From a relative perspective, India is the third least expensive market in Asia-Pacific ex-Japan based on 10-year historical P/E and P/B z-scores. In the near-term, an RBI cut on March 19 or firmer IP print may give confidence that the growth cycle is turning,” added the report.The report also pointed to a break down in relationship between FII inflow and equity market.It stated given the $25 billion of foreign institutional investors inflow last year, a number of equity investors had voiced concern that the inflows would grind to a halt in 2013, which would pose significant risk to the market. Nevertheless, FII flows have totalled a healthy $8.5 billion already in 2013, while the Nifty is down 3 per cent year-to-date.In short, the relationship of FII inflow and the equity market has broken down completely. Currently, there is neither a strong relationship between FII nor DII flows with the Nifty. In other words, neither investor base appears to be ‘driving the market’, said the report. manisha.jha@thehindu.co.in http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/markets/stock-markets/goldman-sachs-still-overweight-on-equities-sees-nifty-at-7000-in-a-year/article4488770.ece

Over 1,000 IAS officers fail to submit property returns.....


Over 1,000 IAS officers fail to submit property returns

NEW DELHI: Over 1,000 IAS officers have failed to submit their immovable property returns to the government within the stipulated time frame this year. 

Of the total of 1,057 officers who did not submit their IPRs for 2012, a highest of 147 are from Uttar Pradesh cadre, 114 of Arunachal Pradesh-Goa-Mizoram-Union Territories (AGMUT), 100 of Manipur-Tripura, 96 ofJammu and Kashmir and 88 of Madhya Pradesh cadre among others, according to Department of Personnel and Training data. 
Suspended IAS couple Arvind and Tinoo Joshi of MP cadre are also among the list of erring officials. 
Joshis, both 1979 batch officers of Madhya Pradesh cadre, made headlines after Income Tax department raided their residence in February, 2010 and allegedly unearthed assets worth over Rs 350 crore. 
58 IAS officers of Karnataka cadre, 53 of Andhra Pradesh, 48 of Punjab, 47 of Orissa, 45 of West Bengal, 40 of Himachal Pradesh, 35 of Haryana, 25 ofJharkhand, 23 of Assam-Meghalaya, 22 of RajasthanBSE 1.80 %, 20 of Tamil Nadu, 17 of Maharashtra, 16 of Nagaland, 14 of Gujarat, 13 of Bihar, 10 of Kerala, nine each of Uttarakhand and Chhattisgarh and eight of Sikkim cadre have not given their IPRs, it said. 
The total sanctioned strength of IAS is 6,217, including 1,339 promotion posts. Of these, 4,737 officers are in position. An all-India service officer is bound to file property returns of a year by January end of the following year, failing which promotion and empanelment to senior level postings may be denied. Besides, there are 107 IAS officers who have not submitted their IPRs for 2011. As many as 198 IAS officials did not give their property details for 2010. "A circular has already been sent to all cadre controlling authorities to inform them about timely submission of their IPRs," said an official of the DoPT, which acts as a nodal agency for administrative matters of the IAS officers.

http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/politics-and-nation/over-1000-ias-officers-fail-to-submit-property-returns/articleshow/18894526.cms


Bad assets rise 42 per cent..NPA RISE ALARMING....


Bad assets rise 42 per cent at Rs. 1.83 trillion till December 2012: CARE