Saturday, September 22, 2012

TOP MARKET CAPITALISATION...21-09-12

http://money.rediff.com/companies/market-capitalisation CompanyCurrent Price (Rs)% ChangeVolumeEquityFace ValueMarket Cap (Rs Cr)
Reliance Inds.849.90+2.137374363,242.00102,75,537.58
Tata Consultancy1,303.30-1.38126482195.7212,55,081.88
ONGC293.35+3.046690824,277.7652,50,976.18
Coal India Ltd.371.90+1.902056386,316.36102,34,905.43
ITC Ltd.261.65+2.03316197782.2912,04,686.18
Infosys2,594.65-0.8097398287.0051,48,932.91
SBI2,212.60+4.30894848671.04101,48,474.31
HDFC Bank625.25+3.02272519471.1821,47,302.65
NTPC168.65+2.682855088,245.46101,39,059.68
ICICI Bank1,065.25+4.197424111,152.93101,22,815.87
HDFC779.15+2.52229822297.7221,15,984.27
Hindustan Unilever L529.55+0.34115300216.1811,14,478.12
Bharti Airtel279.10+4.015351681,898.8051,05,991.02
L & T1,584.20+4.15451699122.56297,079.78
Wipro Ltd377.50+1.19106445492.00292,865.00
Tata Motors Ltd.275.35+1.031438281637.98287,833.90
NMDC Ltd.196.65+4.7797120396.47177,965.83
MMTC Ltd.769.85+0.5553370100.00176,985.00
Sun Pharma.669.30-0.1055514103.56169,312.71
Cairn India Ltd.350.25+2.652242281,907.871066,823.15
Indian Oil Corp252.85+1.81598182,427.951061,390.72
Reliance Petroleum L130.85+0.3522332654,500.001058,882.50
Bharat Heavy Ele232.30+7.121631701489.52256,857.75
Hind. Zinc132.10+1.81123348845.06255,816.21
Power Grid Corpo120.00+2.702769904,629.731055,556.76
Bajaj Auto Ltd.1,802.10+0.7628470289.371052,147.37
UltraTech Cement1,838.00+0.2243002274.081050,375.90
GAIL (India) Ltd.386.05+2.93966001,268.481048,969.67
Mahi. & Mahi808.15+2.96251286294.67547,627.51
Axis Bank Ltd.1,124.70+7.70598324414.291046,595.20
Kotak Mahindra Bank623.05+3.38137297371.24546,259.95
Nestle India4,355.00-0.4510591096.421041,990.91
DLF Ltd.235.25+2.22789939339.51239,934.86
Jindal St & Pwr426.60+6.41103323793.48139,878.57
Tata Steel409.00+3.851051276971.411039,730.67
HCL Technologies569.15+0.2632616138.66239,459.17
Hero MotoCorp1,921.05+1.402369539.94238,363.37
Steel Authority92.55+7.686580504,130.531038,228.06
Maruti Suzuki India1,312.75+2.3746870144.46537,927.97
Asian Paints Ltd.3,944.05+1.24852095.921037,831.33
Sterlite Indus.104.20+5.20876516336.12135,023.70
Bank of Baroda779.25+4.26149058412.381032,134.71
Ambuja Cements Ltd.195.20+1.93118951307.63230,024.69
Grasim Inds.3,236.35+4.101629091.741029,690.27
Idea Cellular Ltd.88.00+0.111375753,309.751029,125.80
Cipla361.35+0.24429082160.58229,012.79
Oil India Ltd.474.00-0.7411824601.131028,493.56
Dr. Reddy's Labs1,643.55-1.382532184.90527,907.48






Stock Markets. Euphoria..Tata Steel and Tata Motors…


The Euphoria/Exuberance  in the stock markets are always temporary…unless the investors professionally invest in and take away the profits at the right time…..normally get trapped in the boom time….tend to keep their investment for more gains and averaging while falling… become a huge burden to carry for more losses..book the LOSSES at the bottom of the trough. 
The tides of "Highs and Lows"- a natural phenomena in the stock markets. Most of the company’s valuations rise phenomenally in the boom times but bust in the economic down turn. The retail investors get attracted to markets in the BOOM time and burn their fingers during the down turn due to lack of  understanding of the stock markets behavoiur. I can say, fails to follow the ”RULES OF THE GAME”…some examples…of my choice….

The News Head lines…made as…”THE BEST BUYS” from any Indian company is non other than Tata steel acquiring CORUS in Jan-2007 for 12.04 billion USD. The company at one times was the world’s best low cost steel producer but with a 56th rank in volumes, now 3rd largest in the world with Corus acquisition.
What it means to the Investors, who invested in Tata Steel when the high profile coverage was in the headlines. The stock jumped from Rs Rs 450-430 range in Jan-Feb-07 to a high of Rs 1048 in Oct-07. The jump in volumes is directly proportional to the profits, but the prolonged recession made the differenc…….and now….????.

Now after 5 years, a series of down turn put the TataSteel stock falling from a High of Rs 1050 in OCT-2007 to a low of Rs 150, DEC-08. For example a retail Investor invested Rs ONE LAKH has to become Rs 2 LAKH by now,(…incase made fixed deposit) means the price of Tata Steel should be close to Rs 2100 by now.

The amount that was invested at the high by a common investor for good returns….waiting…lack of exit capacity…to book the loss is no joke….now the inefficiency of not taking a right decision… a pretext of consoling once own heart burn fact…in the name of LONG TERM INVESTMENT…it is a good company…TATA company…the price will come sooner than later…..The above statements have no value when it comes to STOCK MARKETS. I used to mention to my close friends that the “Bourses” are “Slaughter Houses” for retail/novice investors.
In the boom times the retail investor see more positive headlines, thinks every thing rosy….gets free tips…. Lured by the rise in the Index and come with their hard earned money to gain some extra money…thinking…as if every-thing is made ready…JUST BUY…Take away HUGE PROFITS. This is not the case at any time in the STOCK MARKETS.

Take the Case of TATA MOTORS… started its operations in 1954 in collaboration with German auto major Daimler Benz. The Company has grown from then to world 18th largest auto maker, 4th largest truck manufacturer and 2nd largest Bus manufacturer.
The Company bought the Jaguar and Land Rover in 2008 for 2.5 UDS from Ford Motors. In March-Apr-08 when the deal was completed, the stock was ruling Rs 711-600 range, High was at Rs 816 in Jan-08. In case the same Retail Investor invested at the High at Rs 800, the stock fell to a low of Rs 122 in Nov-08 along with the general fall across the globe in the Stock markets ….as the stock market journey is a perennial one, continued till date and will continue…. In the process the Tata Motors stock could touch a high of Rs 1380 in Dec-10. The stock face value now stands at Rs 2. After the spilt the stock could touch a high of Rs 320, registered in Apr-12 (equals to Rs 1600). The investment of Rs ONE LAKH doubled in Just FOUR years….

So the inference is very simple…BUY LOW and SELL HIGH… ALWAYS be ALERT to UNDERSTAND the STOCK MARKET GYRATIONS…….UNDERSTAND THE ECONOMIC BOOM TIMES…UNDERSTAND…THE RULES OF STOCK MARKET   for making INVESTMENTS…as PROFIT fountains.

Friday, September 21, 2012

Nifty Resistance at 5685 level.


Nifty is in BULL grip, the best indication of Bull unwinding has started when the HIND LEVER AND ITC took a serious beating when the markets are advancing further. The irony is that the se stocks along with TCS, the best performing stocks are trading lower than their price quoted for last my F&O closing. 
The Nifty closed last month at 5315 and now ruling at 5550 level but above mentioned old time performers are now in distribution list. As I mentioned earlier in my postings, in YOUTUBE @BNRSTOCKS, the Banks performed, lead the rally. The other stock I mentioned is DLF, one of the best performing stock in the lot.
Now some disturbances are cropping in the Govt., so the Bull rampage will be reduced, will see some correction. The Best outperformed stocks like SBIN, INFY, ICICI, REC, PFC and DLF may consolidate. The short-term price correction is not a selling opportunity but should wait till the clouds are clear.
There are some issues in the COAL block allocation, is a serious dent to the Govt and also to the Big corporate houses. The CBI may bring some more surprises in the course of time……

Panel recommends deallocation of 12 coal blocks allotted to private sector, government accepts recommendations

NDTV | Reported By: Raj Kumar Sahu | Updated On: September 20, 2012 23:55 (IST)
The Inter Ministerial Group (IMG) reviewing the development of coal blocks concluded its task today. After more than 10 meetings since it was set up, the panel recommended the deallocation of 12 blocks awarded, since 1998, to private firms.

The government has accepted IMG’s recommendations, sources said. The ministerial panel was constituted on July 3, 2012, to review the progress of the coal blocks allotted to private and public sector firms.

Private companies owning the 28 coal blocks under review were sent show cause notices in May this year asking them why their licenses should not be revoked because of the delay in developing their respective blocks…………………………..
http://profit.ndtv.com/news/corporates/article-panel-recommends-deallocation-of-12-coal-blocks-allotted-to-private-sector-government-accepts-recomm-311130?pfrom=home-latest  

DE ALLOCATION

1.     Electrosteel Castings & Others: North Dhadu block

2.     Rungta Mines & Sunflag Iron & Steel: Choritand Taliya block

3.     Electrotherm India and Grasim Industries: Bhaskarpara block

4.     IST Steel & Power, Gujarat Ambuja Cements, Lafarge: Dahegaon Makardhokra block

5.     Maharastra Seamless,Dharial Infrastructure & Kesoram Ind: Gondkhari block

6.    JSW Steel and Himachal EMTA Power Gourangdih ABC block

7.     SKS Ispat and Power: Rawanwara North block

8.     Bhushan Steel Ltd. and others: New Patrapara block

9.     Castron Mining: Brahmdiha block

10.                        Fieldmining and Ispat Limited: Chinora and Warora (South) block

11.                        DOMCO Smokeless Fuels: Lalgarh (North) block

12.                       Bihar Sponge Iron Company: Macherkunda block

BANK GUARANTEE ENCASHMENT

1.    Jayaswal Neco: Moitra block

2.      Arcelor Mittal india Ltd & GVK power: Seregarha block

3.     Neelachal Iron & Steel & Bajrang Ispat: Dumri block

4.     DB Power Ltd: Durgapur II/Sariya block

5.    Gupta Metaliks & Power and Gupta Coalfields: Nerad Malegaon block

6.     Usha Martin: Lohari block

7.     Tata Sponge Iron Ltd. & others: Radhikapur (East) block

8.     Bhushan Ltd: Bijahan block

9.     Shri Virangana Steels: Marki Mangli-II block

10.                        Shri Virangana Steels: Marki Mangli-III block

11.                        Shri Virangana Steels: Marki Mangli IV block

12.                        Monnet Ispat & Energy: Utkal B2 block

13.                       JSPL: Jitpur block

 CLEAN CHIT

1.    Reliance Power (Sasan UMPP): Moher block

2.     Reliance Power (Sasan UMPP): Moher Amlohri block

3.    Tata Steel: Pachmo block


Wednesday, September 19, 2012

NIFTY- BULL ZONE NOT REACHED YET!!!!


The Stock markets across the globe are booming with high liquidity. The macro economic concerns are not the point of discussions at this juncture. The Euro crisis is still alive. In my earlier postings I asked our viewers to take DAX as a barometer for observing the future course of action in the stock markets. When DAX made its decent run from a low of 5366 on 24-11-2011 reached to a level of High at 7194 on 16-3-2012, again fell from 7200 to a low of 5914 on 05-06-2012 then it came to the recent high level of 7446 high on 14-09-2012. Pls refer my earlier posting where in I clearly mentioned that the markets are in Bull grip and we have to change our opinion only when DAX trades below 5900-5850 level. Now the DAX is in over bought Zone. It will continue to be in Bull grip until it trades above 6950 at first level and 6670 at second level. 

The world markets are very likely to stay above the best support levels due to high liquidity. Our Nifty is good above 5225 and good support at 5080-5030 level. We have to rethink/strategize our approach only when Nifty trades below 5050 level. The Buy on decline story is valid till the second support is breached. Unfortunately the sector rotation and stock specific approach is continuing for now and will for some more time until Nifty breaches the best BULL ZONE above 5850 level.