Friday, May 02, 2014

02-05-2014: WEDNESDAY- MARKET APPROACH STRATEGY

30-04-2014: Wednesday-OVER-VIEW:
The POLLING progressed noon, the high beta stocks and the favourites of MODI, got severe beating…???????????.
The market has some important information about the poll results incase ADANI trades below 409, and it is serious if it trades below 393 level……Never forget that the most players are well informed.
THE STOCKMARKET IS A BIG PLAYERS GAME WHERE THE RETAIL FOLKS GET BULLDOZED EVERY TIME AND IT IS A PERNIAL OCCURANCE…HERE….”HISTORY REPEATS AGAIN”
The Nifty got the panic button triggered when it touched 6778-81 level. The yesterday bear hammering in Metals, Auto continued and the banking lot got severe beating by bears as an opportunity to build positions at higher levels.
The PSU banks results are good, IOB, CANBK, Union bank and BOB are still in the BULLS favourites…
The severe bear beating is seen in series but neglected by most (even myself, failed to notice) The first severe dumping happened in WIPRO, then in Jindal steel, Hexaware, DLF, CenturyTextiles....etc and other counters to follow soon.

02-05-2014: WEDNESDAY- MARKET APPROACH STRATEGY:
The Global markets are not seriously affected but the damaged has started weeks before. Mostly consolidation will takes place. The Markets are preparing for the POLL OUT COME….
So both sides BULLs and BEARs make their huge bets so the volatility will be seriously rigorous….. The markets are seeing more uncertainties ahead rather than HOPES but as of now the HOPE is much stronger than the challenges.. so it is very likely that the markets will see some kind of FILL-UP.
From the highs to low there was more than 210 points fall in Nifty and 530 points in Bank Nifty. So mostly there will be some pull back in the hammered counters.

Nifty Resistance at 6727-32 level; Support at 6643 & 6629 Free fall below 6618
BankNifty Resistance at 12946-74 Support at 12689-12663 Free Fall below 12618-21
But the markets may see some up-move in the first half till the Europe opening and then it will follow the global trends…
DAY-BULL COUNTERS: Northward Moves

Nifty Support at  Resistance at  Good above
BankNifty Support at Resistance at  Good above
RIL Support at 934-929 Resistance at 944 Good above 949-951
NEWS IMPACT: The retrospective effect of Gas price increase is a good news to RIL
ECONOMIC--NEWS: There are hopes that the Economy will do well and Growth may touch 6%.
COMPANY SPECIFIC-NEWS: Istanbull Airport stake disinvestment gave 1800 cr to GMR Infra is a good news for cash strapped company….
Almost all PSU banks are in unwinding mode , so any slightest fall can trigger a serious DUMP… where as IOB, IDBI,BOB and some banks like AXIS and YES are adding OI.
F&O-COMPANY -NEWS: BOB and YES and AXIS are adding OI
DAY-BEAR COUNTERS:Southward Moves
Nifty Resistance at 6727-32 level; Support at 6643 & 6629 Free fall below 6618
BankNifty Resistance at 12946-74 Support at 12689-12663 Free Fall below 12618-21
M&M Resistance at 978-81 Support at 951-46 Free fall below 39
Tatamotors Resistance at 432-33 Support at 409-06
RelInfra Resistance at 511-14 Support at 493-89 Good above 429
NEWS IMPACT: The auto sales numbers arenot encouraging the locals. So some serious correction on the cards but TMotors has some new launches
POLICY-NEWS: TRAI may add 8% on ISP is not a good news to TELECOs
COMPANY SPECIFIC-NEWS: The RELINFRA-NTPC row, negative news to Relinfra
F&O-COMPANY -NEWS: Serious unwinding is seen in ADANI ports and power where the Enterprise is kept on adding OI.

Wednesday, April 30, 2014

30-4-2014 day strategy

29-04-2014:Tuesday-OVER-VIEW:
Metals, auto and banking lot got severe beating by bears. The PSU banks results are good and the prices are factored in. The Jindal steel brought all other counters to lows. The Phama counter though fell from highs, still in Bulls control. The M&M counter is the lone fighter against bears but all other counters fell due to demand slowdown in future.
 SUN Ranbaxy bad news..
29-04-2014: WEDNESDAY- MARKET APPROACH STRATEGY: The Bulls tightened their grip and Global indices are encouraging India to add few more points.
Niftyhas resistance at 6772-78 range, Bank Nifty at 13085.
ICICI resistance at 1285-89 range. SBI Resistance at 2093-97 but AXIS may see new highs good above 1544-48. The YES will run fast above 453-5 range.
F&O-COMPANY -NEWS: Huge selling in metals like Jindal and tatasteel is seen.
BULL COUNTERS:
F&O-COMPANY -NEWS:Unwinding in M&M and Axis seen, The PSU banks also in unwinding mode.

Tuesday, April 29, 2014

29-4-2014 Day-MARKET APPROACH STRATEGY

28-04-2014: MONDAY-OVER-VIEW:
The markets saw some grinding in the initial hours but recovered from lows due to PSU banks bargain hunting. The SBI, BOB, CANBANK, ALBK and other PSUs did well.
The star performance came from Pharma sector especially Wock-pharma, DrReddy, Sunpharma and toher such names.
The Private banks like AXIS, INDUS, YES and HDFCBANK are subdued but KOTATAK and ICICI recovered decently.
The Tatamotors
The STOCK-RECON: Missed to identify the YES bank negative news
L&T didn’t recovered even some good news means the news already discounted.
IDFC first fell then recovered when PSUs recovered.

29-04-2014: TUESDAY- MARKET APPROACH STRATEGY: The markets are in Bull grip but the higher level selling is happening. The Bank Nifty is good above 12950 but it is very likely to touch 12500 level with ease.

 DAY-BEAR COUNTERS: The AXIS, ICICI, M&M,

BNIFTY- resistance at 13091-98 level, trades below 13045 then first support at 12963 and at 12865,
AXIS resistance at 1543-48 level whereas support at 1503 and at 1485, (Below 1532-29 weakness accelerates)
ICICI resistance at 1285-89 levels whereas support at 1243 and at 1245, (Below 1277-79 weakness accelerates)
M&M- 1078-82 is the resistance zone and will fall below 1056 level may touch 1048-46

GLOBAL INDICES NEWS

NEWS IMPACT:

ECONOMIC--NEWS:

POLICY-NEWS:

ECONOMIC--NEWS:

COMPANY SPECIFIC-NEWS:

F&O-COMPANY -NEWS:


 DAY-BULL COUNTERS:
GLOBAL INDICES NEWS

NEWS IMPACT:

ECONOMIC--NEWS:

POLICY-NEWS:

ECONOMIC--NEWS:

COMPANY SPECIFIC-NEWS:

F&O-COMPANY -NEWS:


Monday, April 28, 2014

Day action-28-04-2014

24-04-2014: FRIDAY-OVER-VIEW:
Markets started falling from highs due to Global market weakness. The Asian markets are falling but the depth/severity is not so serious.
The yesterday’s results of ICICI, IDFC are not encouraging and Axis will hit Yearly- Highs
28-04-2014-Monday-POSSIBLE-SCENARIO:
The M&M may see fall from Highs, The LT may rise from lows, GAIL may bounce. Nifty has support at 6740 level but may not hold today.
BEAR COUNTERS: ICICI Bank, IDFC
GLOBAL INDICES NEWS: The Europe was weak and Asian markets were weak
NEWS IMPACT: No big news
ECONOMIC--NEWS:
POLICY-NEWS: USA working on Sanctions against PUTIN core team.

COMPANY SPECIFIC-NEWS: Adani made some clarifications on the political associations and favours

F&O-COMPANY -NEWS:
BULL COUNTERS:
GLOBAL INDICES NEWS
NEWS IMPACT: IT may bounce in next few days
ECONOMIC--NEWS: The CAD is down
POLICY-NEWS:
ECONOMIC--NEWS:
COMPANY SPECIFIC-NEWS: JSWSteel output increased and new plant is started. Bajaj auto strike was postponed. LT got big order


F&O-COMPANY -NEWS: Axis added 8.6 lakhs OI, Wipro 6.2 lakhs added