The surprising dullness in the number of interviews conducted by the Finance Minister and Commerce Minister generating anxious moments in the minds of the investors. There were no triumphant statements on the progress made or the hope generating public announcements either. There was some kind of tussle in the minds of the Ministers as they could not open themselves as usually due to some undisclosed monitoring/controlling.
The early signs of tapering of inflation curve may give some boost to the markets. The inflation was at 12.4 % Vs 12.63% on week on week basis. The markets peacefully crossed the August series with out any fire works as the heavy weights already shown the signals of weakness, made no trouble to Bears.
As suggested in the morning the RIL did not touched 2185 level, made a high of 2168. In my earlier posts suggested that in case RIL trades below 2173 level a free fall is expected but that time it bounced back from 2153 level, begining of August series. The Tata Steel made a high of 589, RCOM made a high of 402.50. The Bharti made a high of 822.90 and a low of 796.35, could pierce the resistance at 818-19 level but could not trade above that level, it took support at 795-96 level. The ONGC made a high of 1019.90 and took support above 985 level.(….There was no change in the levels of Nifty but RIL has to trade above 2185 for up move, RCOM above 405-06 level and Tata Steel above 591, Bharti good above 818 and ONGC good above 1018-20 level).
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
Thursday, August 28, 2008
August series closes…..
The markets are opening with a schedule; a day of expiry, roll over busy and the stock specific action is more focused. The Nifty did not made any good move from the earlier July closing was at 4333, yesterday closing was at 4292.
The nearly 40 down from previous closing made some significant changes in the stock prices. There are serious looser stocks like ABAN down by Rs 365/-, ACC down by Rs 26.5/-, AMTEK AUTO down by Rs 32/-, BANKINDIA down by Rs 20/-, BEL down by Rs 38.5/-, BHUSHANSTEEL down by Rs 79/-, BOMDYEING down by Rs 73.5/-, BPCL down by Rs 30/-, CHENNAIPETRO down by Rs 40/-, JINDALSTEEL down by Rs 197/-, LITL down by Rs 22./-, LITL down by Rs 22./-, LITL down by Rs 22./-, LITL down by Rs 22/-, NDTV down by Rs 76./-, RCOM down by Rs 102./-, RELCAP down by Rs 28./-, RELIANCE down by Rs 58./-, RNRL down by Rs 5./-, SBIN down by Rs 82./-, TATAPOWER down by Rs 144./-, TATASTEEL down by Rs 46./- and SUZLON down by Rs 18./-.
There was no change in the levels of Nifty but RIL has to trade above 2185 for up move, RCOM above 405-06 level and Tata Steel above 591, Bharti good above 818 and ONGC good above 1018-20 level.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
The nearly 40 down from previous closing made some significant changes in the stock prices. There are serious looser stocks like ABAN down by Rs 365/-, ACC down by Rs 26.5/-, AMTEK AUTO down by Rs 32/-, BANKINDIA down by Rs 20/-, BEL down by Rs 38.5/-, BHUSHANSTEEL down by Rs 79/-, BOMDYEING down by Rs 73.5/-, BPCL down by Rs 30/-, CHENNAIPETRO down by Rs 40/-, JINDALSTEEL down by Rs 197/-, LITL down by Rs 22./-, LITL down by Rs 22./-, LITL down by Rs 22./-, LITL down by Rs 22/-, NDTV down by Rs 76./-, RCOM down by Rs 102./-, RELCAP down by Rs 28./-, RELIANCE down by Rs 58./-, RNRL down by Rs 5./-, SBIN down by Rs 82./-, TATAPOWER down by Rs 144./-, TATASTEEL down by Rs 46./- and SUZLON down by Rs 18./-.
There was no change in the levels of Nifty but RIL has to trade above 2185 for up move, RCOM above 405-06 level and Tata Steel above 591, Bharti good above 818 and ONGC good above 1018-20 level.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
Tuesday, August 26, 2008
The consolidation move………
The markets are moving in arrange of 120-150 points between 4280 to 4420 level for the last one week. The market is neither in favour of Bulls nor for Bears as the consolidation is in process. The markets lost the volume drive due to higher expectations. The stock specific move making the traders confused and the investors surprised.
As expected in the morning, the Nifty made a low of 4283.3 and a high of 4345.05, closed at 4337.50, a close nearer to the previous day closing. (…..the Nifty as earlier said has support at 4280 level but it shall not trade below that level as it is a sacrosanct level with a small consideration up to 4240 level that could become as a last chance). The markets could with stand the Bear pressure due to weak US cues and the falling Asian markets.
The regular readers will observe the RIL strong above 2220 level and weak below 2193 level which was nose dived during the early trade to 2146 level. The same is true with ONGC got support at 980 level, started the up move to 1025 level. The Bharti case is also the same as it did not trade below 793 in spite of the repeated attempts made by the Bears. The RPL took support at 156 level and tried to cross the resistance at 161 level. The markets are expecting the political equations be neutralized, as the harsh statements on RIL & RPL worked well to dry up the volumes, thanks to the vindictive nature of the propping allies.
As expected in the morning, the Nifty made a low of 4283.3 and a high of 4345.05, closed at 4337.50, a close nearer to the previous day closing. (…..the Nifty as earlier said has support at 4280 level but it shall not trade below that level as it is a sacrosanct level with a small consideration up to 4240 level that could become as a last chance). The markets could with stand the Bear pressure due to weak US cues and the falling Asian markets.
The regular readers will observe the RIL strong above 2220 level and weak below 2193 level which was nose dived during the early trade to 2146 level. The same is true with ONGC got support at 980 level, started the up move to 1025 level. The Bharti case is also the same as it did not trade below 793 in spite of the repeated attempts made by the Bears. The RPL took support at 156 level and tried to cross the resistance at 161 level. The markets are expecting the political equations be neutralized, as the harsh statements on RIL & RPL worked well to dry up the volumes, thanks to the vindictive nature of the propping allies.
The global weakness….
The weakness in the global cues and the red in Asian markets may put pressure on our markets too. The challenge is to see how much strength in the markets to absorb the selling pressure and the resilience to keep the neck out to say “I am Strong”.
The SGX Nifty is trading 30 points discount to yesterday closing. The SGX Nifty is now at 4300 level. The Hang Seng with its robust yesterday move slide only one fourth but Nikkei lost all the gains made yesterday. The closing of august series will influence the markets rather than the outside clues.
The Nifty as earlier said has support at 4280 level but it shall not trade below that level as it is a sacrosanct level with a small consideration up to 4240 level that could become as a last chance. The upper side pressure are used as opportunities to buy the stocks, enables the Bulls to run smoothly “turf clearing” exercise for a big up side move. The distress selling will affect the sentiment that may propel further selling, unwinding of longs and lack of buying support may cause a irrepairable loss at this juncture.
The RIL, ONGC, RPL, Bharti, Infy and SAIL stocks levels are at previous levels. By the closing of Aug series it is very likely that the Tata Steel may bounce to 620-28 level, Tata power may recover 50-60 rupees. The RCOM is good above 403-05 level may rally to 430 when it crosses and trades above 415 resistance.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
The SGX Nifty is trading 30 points discount to yesterday closing. The SGX Nifty is now at 4300 level. The Hang Seng with its robust yesterday move slide only one fourth but Nikkei lost all the gains made yesterday. The closing of august series will influence the markets rather than the outside clues.
The Nifty as earlier said has support at 4280 level but it shall not trade below that level as it is a sacrosanct level with a small consideration up to 4240 level that could become as a last chance. The upper side pressure are used as opportunities to buy the stocks, enables the Bulls to run smoothly “turf clearing” exercise for a big up side move. The distress selling will affect the sentiment that may propel further selling, unwinding of longs and lack of buying support may cause a irrepairable loss at this juncture.
The RIL, ONGC, RPL, Bharti, Infy and SAIL stocks levels are at previous levels. By the closing of Aug series it is very likely that the Tata Steel may bounce to 620-28 level, Tata power may recover 50-60 rupees. The RCOM is good above 403-05 level may rally to 430 when it crosses and trades above 415 resistance.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
Monday, August 25, 2008
The BEST chance to overcome……
The markets are consolidating at this stage where the Nifty made some anchor at 4200-4300 level.
The markets very likely to move further to 5100 level if it trades above 4500 level (with out touching 4080-4100 level) which is very crucial resistance to cross, other wise the markets likely to see one more deep correction that could take back first to 3500 level, later to 3180-3130 level, if worst case developed then to a level that was available at 2940-3040 range, came in the last week of July-06.
The July, 2006 levels may not come to Nifty as it undergone a series of changes in the composition, higher capitalization stocks like DLF, UNITECH, Power Grid, now the Rpower being included by 10th Sep-08.
The Indian markets are taking the earlier lead while falling and even in the rise, but the global crisis may not let it move in unidirectional up move. At the current valuations, the age old thumb rule method of identifying the stocks like P/E is still high at 18.25 as per NSE, when compared to the historic movements.
The recent worry that has developed in the investors mind was due to the high valuations enjoyed few months back are not available inspite of good earnings. As a matter of fact these things were already discounted by the markets, factored in good news can never trigger up move. So those sweet memories are now sweated, cannot be demanded then the euphoria generated was to attract the scapegoats to distribute and make HARD CASH. Those deceived lots have to throw away the acquired valuable assets as useless scrap, then the markets will bounce with vengeance for that insult, until then just get in and get out.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
The markets very likely to move further to 5100 level if it trades above 4500 level (with out touching 4080-4100 level) which is very crucial resistance to cross, other wise the markets likely to see one more deep correction that could take back first to 3500 level, later to 3180-3130 level, if worst case developed then to a level that was available at 2940-3040 range, came in the last week of July-06.
The July, 2006 levels may not come to Nifty as it undergone a series of changes in the composition, higher capitalization stocks like DLF, UNITECH, Power Grid, now the Rpower being included by 10th Sep-08.
The Indian markets are taking the earlier lead while falling and even in the rise, but the global crisis may not let it move in unidirectional up move. At the current valuations, the age old thumb rule method of identifying the stocks like P/E is still high at 18.25 as per NSE, when compared to the historic movements.
The recent worry that has developed in the investors mind was due to the high valuations enjoyed few months back are not available inspite of good earnings. As a matter of fact these things were already discounted by the markets, factored in good news can never trigger up move. So those sweet memories are now sweated, cannot be demanded then the euphoria generated was to attract the scapegoats to distribute and make HARD CASH. Those deceived lots have to throw away the acquired valuable assets as useless scrap, then the markets will bounce with vengeance for that insult, until then just get in and get out.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
The belied move…
The hope that was generated from the overseas markets was belied as the Nifty failed to trade above 4363 level as the strong resistance made the Bears to cash the opportunity to sell at higher prices in the morning.The Nifty high touched was 4398.80 and the low recorded was at 4317.95 for this day and closed at 4335.35 level. As posted earlier dt 24-08-08……….. The Nifty was at the verge of the collapse incase if it fails to add at least 70 points to trade above the 4397 level.
The Nifty is technically in sell situation but the gravity was not so serious. The Need to trade above 4350-60 level to mitigate the bear pressure and some buying coupled with short covering may emerge above 4400 as the expiry will close by Thursday, 4 trading sessions away. The Nifty shall not trade below the support level at 4280 to see the up move in future).
The RIL has made a decent move by crossing the 2264 resistance but selling pressure brought it down to 2230 level. The ONGC has made good come back, trading above the support level at 1020 level but failed to cross the resistance.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
The Nifty is technically in sell situation but the gravity was not so serious. The Need to trade above 4350-60 level to mitigate the bear pressure and some buying coupled with short covering may emerge above 4400 as the expiry will close by Thursday, 4 trading sessions away. The Nifty shall not trade below the support level at 4280 to see the up move in future).
The RIL has made a decent move by crossing the 2264 resistance but selling pressure brought it down to 2230 level. The ONGC has made good come back, trading above the support level at 1020 level but failed to cross the resistance.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
The nervous week to start….
The markets likely to open with positive bias above 4345 level and may cross the resistance at 4360 level, the challenge is to see that the Nifty to close above that level and cross the resistance at 4414 and at 4450 level then it will become as a confirmation of the up move triggered from first week of July is intact. The biggest problem at this point in time is that the inflation related sectors weakening and placing heavy weight on the Nifty.
The RIL has to trade above 2230 and cross the resistance at 2265 level, The ONGC the torch bearer of the up move has to live up to the expectations of the Bulls by trading above 1050 level, Bharti need to trade above 830 level then the strong counters will automatically gain their strength and can generate rally in Nifty to cross the 4680-4700 resistance. The metal counters, banking may find buyers.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
The RIL has to trade above 2230 and cross the resistance at 2265 level, The ONGC the torch bearer of the up move has to live up to the expectations of the Bulls by trading above 1050 level, Bharti need to trade above 830 level then the strong counters will automatically gain their strength and can generate rally in Nifty to cross the 4680-4700 resistance. The metal counters, banking may find buyers.
The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.
Sunday, August 24, 2008
At the edge…..
The Nifty was at the verge of the collapse incase if it fails to add at least 70 points to trade above the 4397 level at the earliest, atleast by close Tuesday. The Nifty is technically in sell situation but the gravity was not so serious. The Nifty need to trade above 4350-60 level to mitigate the bear pressure and some buying coupled with short covering may emerge above 4400 as the expiry will close by Thursday, 4 trading sessions away. The Nifty shall not trade below the support level at 4280 to see the up move in future.
The strong counters are in a band and the weak counters are getting weaker as the Nifty movement is to Southwards. The markets are likely to gain strength to loose the bear grip when the Nifty crosses the 4500 level, the stocks that need to trade above their strong resistance levels; the SBI has to trade above 1540-50 level, the Relcap has to trade above 1420-25 level, the RCOM has to trade above 450 level, the DLF has to trade above 550-60 level, the momentum scrips like RNRL has to trade above 106-08 level, until then the markets are in bear grip.
The strong counters are in a band and the weak counters are getting weaker as the Nifty movement is to Southwards. The markets are likely to gain strength to loose the bear grip when the Nifty crosses the 4500 level, the stocks that need to trade above their strong resistance levels; the SBI has to trade above 1540-50 level, the Relcap has to trade above 1420-25 level, the RCOM has to trade above 450 level, the DLF has to trade above 550-60 level, the momentum scrips like RNRL has to trade above 106-08 level, until then the markets are in bear grip.
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