Wednesday, July 25, 2012

Markets bet


Markets bet on Subbarao surprise
Rates of certificates of deposit and overnight indexed swap suggest there is hope for a rate cut

INFLATION YARDSTICK
What the central bank considered for policy action
DatePolicyExpectationActionReason
Jul 26,11First quarter monetary policy review25-bp rate riseRate rise by 50 bpsHigh WPI
Sep 16,11Mid-quarter policy review25-bp rate riseRate rise by 25 bpsHigh WPI, CPI
Oct 25,’11Second quarter monetary policy reviewNo repo rate rise Rate rise by 25 bpsHigh WPI
Dec 16,’11Mid-quarter policy reviewNo change in rate but CRR cut expectedNo change Moderation in WPI, CPI
Jan 24,’12Third quarter monetary policy reviewCRR cut CRR cut by 50 bpsModeration in growth, WPI
Mar 15,12Mid-quarter policy reviewRepo cut No change WPI moderated though CPI sticky
Apr 17,’12Annual monetary  & credit policy0-25-bp rate cutRate cut by 50 bpsFall in growth, WPI though CPI was high
Jun 18, ‘12Mid-quarter policy review 25-bp repo rate cutNo change High CPI though WPI
moderated 
WPI: Wholesale Price Index; CPI: Consumer Price Index; CRR: Cash Reserve Ratio; bps: Basis points        Source: RBI
http://www.businessstandard.com/india/news/markets-betsubbarao-surprise/481344/

Tuesday, July 24, 2012

OnMobile's PLEDGED SHARES STORY....

Mon, Jul 23, 2012 at 22:24

OnMobile's governance woes: What went wrong?

OnMobile is trying to put a partial failure of corporate governance behind it. However, the episode has raised questions on what exactly went wrong. CNBC-TV18' Vineetha Athrey spoke to various people within and outside the company to piece it all together.


OnMobile is trying to put a partial failure of corporate governance behind it. However, the episode has raised questions on what exactly went wrong. CNBC-TV18’s Vineetha Athrey spoke to various people within and outside the company to piece it all together.

Arvind Rao's departure as a promoter of OnMobile on the July 18 has given the company a breather, but its corporate governance troubles are not an overnight phenomenon. They've been in the making since late 2010.

CNBC-TV18 learns that in November 2010, Rao pledged a significant chunk of his shares with Kotak Mahindra Prime as security against a personal loan -- when the share price was Rs 277 per share.

Now Rao's reasons for the loan remain unclear, he has not responded to repeated queries, and Kotak Mahindra Prime has declined to comment citing client confidentiality.

However, some of this money was used to buy an additional one percent stake from the market a few days later.

The problem was that over the next few months, the market tanked and the stock price dropped to Rs 98 per share on the July 15 2011. This fall in value forced Rao to ask the board to hike the cash component of his salary from Rs 1.1 crore to Rs 3.6 crore.

Onmobile has not confirmed whether he got that hike but said,
"CEO's compensation review is an annual process and is contingent on the net profits of the company. The board cannot approve compensation of the ceo as it is contingent on shareholder approval."

Rao is also learnt to have initiated a series of related-party transactions with companies he owned -- Mobile Traffik and Riff Mobile -- without board approval.

These firms had once provided OnMobile with content but this time, sources say the attempt was to raise inflated invoices on OnMobile to book revenues in Mobile Traffik, inflate its valuation, and sell it back to OnMobile at this inflated valuation.

This failed when the OnMobile board aborted the process midway, thus preventing any financial loss.

On this, OnMobile told CNBC-TV18 said, "The special review focused on certain specific transactions that Amarchand and KPMG were asked to look into. While strong alternate controls ensured that OnMobile did not incur any financial loss, the board called for a review of the governance mechanisms and internal controls to further strengthen them.”

But that's of little succor to shareholders. To cut its losses, Kotak Mahindra Prime sold most of the OnMobile shares pledged by Rao, and now holds only around 1% in the company. To boost market sentiment, OnMobile bought a 3.52% stake from Rao and his companies but with the stock wallowing at around Rs 36 a share, shareholders are left holding the bag.

Monday, July 23, 2012

Billionaire investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala & Sterling Holiday Resorts


Can any one imagine that I owned this stock for Rs "ONE"....
Jhunjhunwala converts warrants into equity in Sterling Holidays
Bay Capital and other investor Radhakrishna Damani have also converted their warrants into stake
Press Trust of India / New Delhi Jul 23, 2012, 18:45 IST
Billionaire investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala has picked up an equity stake in Sterling Holiday Resorts India Ltd by converting the warrants, which he had subscribed in September last year.
Similarly, the promoter cum a private equity firm Bay Capital and other investor Radhakrishna Damani have also converted their warrants into stake. The total value of these conversion is estimated to be around Rs 17.1 crore.
The company got its board of directors approval on Monday to allot 30,39,888 equity shares arising out of conversion of warrants issued on preferential basis. 
The warrants converted are from who invested around Rs 80 crore for a little over 14% stake in the company, last year. The converted shares would amount to around 4.87% of the total shares.
In September last year, Jhunjhunwala and investor Damani have invested around Rs 80 crore for a little over 14% stake in Chennai-based Sterling Holiday Resorts India Ltd, founded by timesharing veteran R Subramanian in 1986....................http://www.businessstandard.com/india/news/jhunjhunwala-converts-warrants-into-equity-in-sterling-holidays/179771/on

200417.1026.807.5619.4568,29,58031,87711,80,73,00019.242.35
200520.0076.6014.3570.252,69,33,65965,7271,31,05,05,42162.2550.25
200671.00145.2036.0064.653,09,11,5011,14,3632,59,27,14,923109.20-6.35
200765.0083.2536.0083.253,28,48,1741,22,6461,84,69,74,03947.2518.25
200886.8097.008.4519.551,29,49,83336,34959,58,16,95388.55-67.25
200920.2573.9518.5572.901,79,93,10833,28994,64,53,78155.4052.65
201072.55111.7066.1580.753,03,71,56796,9272,68,26,30,20145.558.20
201181.80129.2055.1084.503,06,80,2251,17,8912,97,78,73,41474.102.70
201285.00106.0072.2087.001,42,68,82053,8061,27,51,35,68333.802.00

Markets are for "Dreams of Execution"



In my latest Tweet told that the markets are headed for 4950 level which is still valid. As I mentioned in my earlier postings, the markets are positioned for a breakout .......... which side ???????????? Anybody's guess!!!!!!!!!!!!!!. For now don't short because of external steep falls due to EURO crisis.

I will favour Bears due to economic conditions, monsoon and liquidity crunch and other political instabilities. I am with BEAR's so long they KEEP NIFTY below the 5000 mark on closing basis. 
Technically the markets are still in bull grip.The DAX is in Bulls grip until it floats above 6130 - 6090 level. 
---
I offered my personal advice to buy on 1st June period and at the same time I asked to sell from 5335 till 5380 level ( During 1st week of July-12). 

Market participants very rarely utilize the opportunity market provides but every body speculate and live in "Dreams of Execution" after the events/news is known to every body. This type of thinking keep a HAPPY FEELING for being a market participant. I am no eception to this theory....This is universal...
-----
GOOD NEWS FLOWING, MARKETS ARE AGAIN IN BULL GRIP.I ASKED TO BUY 4700 TO GET 5180 NOW BE CAUTIOUS AT 5280-5330 LEVEL TO TEST 4940-60 LEVEL.

NOT IN BULL GRIP BUT BULLS MANAGED TO BRING NIFTY TO 5030 SAFE ZONE LEVEL. MONDAY THE RISE IS STRONG,SHALLNOT FALL BELOW 4880 TO TEST 5365

THE FALL IN THE EUROPE IS DENTING OUR RISE BUT NOT TRIGGERED A STEEP FALL. NIFTY4800 IS A GOOD SUPPORT. ANY HOPE TO BULLS IS ONLY ABOVE 4989

SO MARKETS ARE CONSOLIDATED FROM 4800 LEVEL. THOSE WHO BELIEVED SBI BUYING AT 1930 MADE A KILLING., HAS POTENTIAL TO TOUCH 2400






The Libor Fix

Satyajit Das | Agency: DNA | Sunday, July 22, 2012
Depending on context, the word ‘fix’ can mean ‘set’ or ‘determine’, ‘manipulate’ or ‘rig’ as well as ‘repair’ or ‘correct’. ‘In a fix’ means to be in difficulty. In colloquial use, ‘fix’ is a dose of an addictive substance that is habitually consumed. The current furore surrounding manipulation of money market rates contains all these meanings and more.
In June this year, UK and American authorities fined UK’s Barclays Banks £290 million ($450 million) for manipulating key money market benchmark rates, such as the London Interbank Offered Rate, or Libor, and Euro Interbank Offered rates, or EuroIBOR.
Barclays’ chief executive officer (CEO) Robert E Diamond Jr and chief operating officer Jerry del Missier were forced to resign. Barclays’ chairman Marcus Agius resigned but agreed to remain temporarily to find a new CEO.
Libor originally reflected the rates at which banks in the euro-dollar market lent surplus liquidity to each other. Demand for a standard benchmark for instruments based on money market rates led to the creation of the British Bankers’ Association (BBA) Libor fixings, which commenced officially in 1986.
Libor is defined as: “The rate at which an individual Contributor Panel bank could borrow funds, were it to do so by asking for and then accepting inter-bank offers in reasonable market size, just prior to 11.00 London time”. Each bank must submit a rate accurately reflecting its belief about its cost of funds, defined as unsecured interbank cash borrowings or fund raised through issuance of interbank certificates of deposit, in London as at the relevant time.
There are 150 different Libor rates published every day, covering 10 currencies (including US$, C$, A$, NZ$, Euro, £, yen and Swiss Francs) and 15 maturities (ranging from overnight rates to 12 months).
There are between 8 and 20 banks on each currency panel. Each bank provides its quote. The top and bottom 25% are ignored and the remaining quotes are averaged (the inter-quartile mean) to arrive at the quoted Libor. The process is overseen by the BBA but daily calculations are undertaken by Thomson Reuters, which publishes the rate after 11:00 am, generally around 11:45 am each trading day, London time.
The rates are a benchmark rather than a tradable rate. The actual rate at which specific banks will lend to one another varies. The rate also changes throughout the day.
Libor is used for loans, bonds (such as floating rate notes) and derivative transactions. The exact volume of transactions using Libor is unknown as most are over-the-counter (OTC) bilateral transactions. Estimates suggest that Libor is used to establish the interest costs of $10 trillion of loans, $350 trillion of OTC derivatives and over $400 trillion of euro-dollar futures and option contracts traded on exchanges.
Pre-2007, Barclays manipulated rates in order to obtain financial benefits. Subsequently, during the global financial crisis (GFC), Barclays manipulated rates due to reputational concerns.
The pre-2007 episode relates primarily to mismatches in banks’ asset and liabilities. For the most part, banks simultaneously borrow and lend money. In derivatives, they both receive and pay the same or similar rates. Mismatches may be deliberately created to increase profit. Mismatches also result from the natural flow of customer transactions.
Mismatches (known as reset risk) can be managed by entering into transactions such as reset swaps. Hedges are expensive and not always readily available. The incentive to manipulate rates for profit arises from these mismatches. The evidence is consistent with this pattern of activities.
On September 13, 2006, a trader in New York writes: “Hi Guys, We got a big position in 3m libor for the next 3 days. Can we please keep the libor fixing at 5.39 for the next few days. It would really help. We do not want it to fix any higher than that. Tks a lot”.
On October 13, 2006, a senior euro swaps trader states: “I have a huge fixing on Monday… something like 30bn 1m fixing … and I would like it to be very very very high… Can you do something to help? I know a big clearer will be against us… and don’t want to lose money on that one”.
On October 26, 2006, an external trader makes a request for a lower three-month US dollar Libor submission stated in an email to a trader at Barclays “If it comes in unchanged I’m a dead man”. 
Traders sought to fix the rate sets to increase the firm’s profits and ultimately their own bonuses. Following the request of October 26, 2006, Barclays submitted a three-month US dollar Libor quote that was half a basis point lower than that the day before. The external trader thanked the Barclays’ trader: “Dude. I owe you big time! Come over one day after work and I’m opening a bottle of Bollinger”.
During the GFC, the FSA alleges that Barclays sought to manipulate Libor to minimise reputational concerns about its financial position........................http://www.dnaindia.com/analysis/column_the-libor-fix_1718404

CONGRATULATIONS TO PRANAB SAB!!!!


Sunday, July 22, 2012

BlackBerry to pay $147.2 million in damages!!!


There's an Indian hand in $147-mn patent blow to BlackBerry maker
Indira Kannan / Toronto Jul 22, 2012, 00:49 IST
There’s an Indian connection to the multi-million-dollar blow dealt to the ailing Canadian smartphone maker, Research In Motion (RIM), in an American court on Friday, July 13. A jury in San Francisco’s US Federal District Court of Northern California found the BlackBerry maker, guilty of infringing patents belonging to American firm Mformation Technologies and ordered RIM to pay $147.2 million in damages.
Mformation, a provider of mobile device management technology, and headquartered in Edison, New Jersey, was founded by Indian American Rakesh Kushwaha, who is currently the company’s chief technology officer. While Kushwaha was the lead inventor of the patents in question, Chief Scientist Badri Nath was listed as the co-inventor.The patents related to wireless mobile device management, and the software found to infringe Mformation’s patent was RIM’s BlackBerry Enterprise Server, used by corporate enterprise customers to manage and secure their BlackBerry devices. The patents were applied for in 2001 and awarded in 2005 and 2008.
In a statement after the verdict, Kushwaha said: “Mformation created the mobile device management category in the late 1990s and was innovating in this area well before most of the market understood the fundamental importance of wireless mobility management.”
Mformation’s President and CEO Todd DeLaughter told Business Standard: “With the court’s decision validating our pursuit of this case, our focus now is on bringing this chapter to an end for both companies, so we can focus on our core businesses.”
Responding to questions from Business Standard, a RIM spokesman said: “This technology is not core to RIM’s product line. RIM’s future products operate differently and are not the subject of a claim.”
Mformation had filed a suit in October 2008, alleging infringement of its patents by RIM after reportedly disclosing information about the technology to the Canadian company during potential licensing talks. Mformation alleged RIM did not purchase a licence but incorporated the patented technology after modifications.
The lead trial counsel arguing Mformation’s case in court was Amar Thakur, a San Diego-based attorney. He explained after the verdict that the jury’s award was for royalties on sales to non-government customers in the US. The award does not include future royalties, past and future US government sales, or past and future non-US sales, according to Mformation. The RIM spokesman also reiterated that any Mformation recovery could not include damages for sales outside the US or to government customers.http://www.businessstandard.com/india/news/there/s-an-indian-hand-in-147-mn-patent-blow-to-blackberry-maker/481094/