Monday, August 25, 2008

The BEST chance to overcome……

The markets are consolidating at this stage where the Nifty made some anchor at 4200-4300 level.
The markets very likely to move further to 5100 level if it trades above 4500 level (with out touching 4080-4100 level) which is very crucial resistance to cross, other wise the markets likely to see one more deep correction that could take back first to 3500 level, later to 3180-3130 level, if worst case developed then to a level that was available at 2940-3040 range, came in the last week of July-06.
The July, 2006 levels may not come to Nifty as it undergone a series of changes in the composition, higher capitalization stocks like DLF, UNITECH, Power Grid, now the Rpower being included by 10th Sep-08.
The Indian markets are taking the earlier lead while falling and even in the rise, but the global crisis may not let it move in unidirectional up move. At the current valuations, the age old thumb rule method of identifying the stocks like P/E is still high at 18.25 as per NSE, when compared to the historic movements.

The recent worry that has developed in the investors mind was due to the high valuations enjoyed few months back are not available inspite of good earnings. As a matter of fact these things were already discounted by the markets, factored in good news can never trigger up move. So those sweet memories are now sweated, cannot be demanded then the euphoria generated was to attract the scapegoats to distribute and make HARD CASH. Those deceived lots have to throw away the acquired valuable assets as useless scrap, then the markets will bounce with vengeance for that insult, until then just get in and get out.

The STOCK-TRADING is a “Skill-FULL Job”. NEVER blame others for the LOSS/DEALS.
Never Forget: I may be wrong, You may be wrong but markets always RIGHT.

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