The IT industry is grappling with difficult economic environment due to it over dependence on US and Europe was forcibly thrown into more troubled waters due to Satyam fiasco. The Corporate IT tycoons of first generation shying with ignominy due to this episode and their survival will be more difficult with checks and balances.
None acted with responsibility-The company regulators, top level “lapse of vigilance” at the Foreign Exchange inflow, the lending Banks, the leeway handling of accounts by the PWC and above all the analysts of FII, DII & MF heads with mindless heads made Ramalinga Raju to ditch his company and share holders.
The greed & power to rule the corporate sector putting pressure to “perform by any means” is fast spreading to the developing countries. These kinds of manipulation are very common in DevelopeD countries how ever strict there are aftermath. Here this case is only a sample of the lot in the making and many more will be un-earthed once the graveyard is open for excavation.
The kind of financial irregularities happened at Satyam may happen in other first generation companies if the regulators lay their hands and meticulous eyes to nab the “white-collar crime” culprits. The style of publishing inflated numbers in the balance sheet shall be scrutinized thoroughly and put them behind bars to send a strong message not necessarily to the rest of the world but to these “Financial Vultures” not only eat their birth child company but also cripple the nation’s image and economy.
On Friday the Infra & reality stocks tumbled were finding difficult to trace the bottom as the slide is so massive that no body could understand what happened to who but the whole trauma of buyers was shifted in minutes to sellers when the management of DLF “buy back” was heavily initiated. The stock fell on rumors that the CFO sold more than one lakh shares, like a snow avalanche slide the DLF fell from 225 to 144 and bounced with vengeance to again 220-25 level. The DLF was bought by the promoters to a tune of 17.5 lakh shares at an average price of Rs 193.40 and the total shares bought till date is only 21.4 lakhs.
The Satyam promoters could sell their shares by pledging with IL &FS and others much above 150 per share as the Satyam shares were sold more than 2.14 crore shares when the average price is above 175 by the lenders intimated to Exchanges on 2nd Jan, 1.029 crores of shares sold and intimated to NSE on 6th Jan and again 85.3 lakh share sold and intimated on 8th Jan-09. The poor investors hoping some miracle will happen and turn their fortune are still holding by praying the almighty. The people who burned their energy to build the empire for intelligent master mind rouge are left to their fate called 50,000+ employees looking for help/ recognition for their abilities and service.
The employees who sensed the fall sold their shares- on 22-12-2008 Manisha Mehta-5200, V. Murali-10,000, A.S.Murty-19000, V. Murali-20,000; on 17-12-2008 M.SriRam-1000, A.S.Murty-21,000. On 16-12-2008 Satyam announced the Board decision of buying Maytas.
Saturday, January 10, 2009
Thursday, January 08, 2009
THE UNANSWERED…………
The New CEO Ram has everything but no to that matters most- “The Information”.
The markets shall face the "test of the depth" to face the selling pressure incase it unwarranted. The stock markets across the globe live in a hostile situation where “The analyst gives wrong calls, the auditors certify any thing for a fee, the promoters publish cooked results and deviated misinformation’s, the fund houses buy with vision of “associations developed” in the nights but the poor retail investor invests the hard earnings for a lifeline of future. At the end of the day the retail investor looses every thing for a toss.
The markets shall face the "test of the depth" to face the selling pressure incase it unwarranted. The stock markets across the globe live in a hostile situation where “The analyst gives wrong calls, the auditors certify any thing for a fee, the promoters publish cooked results and deviated misinformation’s, the fund houses buy with vision of “associations developed” in the nights but the poor retail investor invests the hard earnings for a lifeline of future. At the end of the day the retail investor looses every thing for a toss.
QUESTIONS ???????.........
The unanswered questions are opening in Satyam saga as flood water falls from the dam once the gates are opened for free flow.
The markets were stunned by the financial scandal at Satyam and were surprised to accept the truth of “ALL LIES” by Raju.
The market fell heavily as the built up open position was huge that to in the absence of FII holiday it was built to hand over at higher prices was belied due to the un-expected fiasco at Satyam. The important FII investors resorted for selling at the day’s low price fore tells that they are serious to sell INDIA. The experts are revealing that there are more companies to be micro-scoped for facts rather than accepting.
In case Nifty fails to cross 2957-60 and the low breaches 2812-16 level, then the serious consequences are built in the system. The big names of Indian industry will be doubted for sure and their current valuations will be corrected accordingly.
The markets were stunned by the financial scandal at Satyam and were surprised to accept the truth of “ALL LIES” by Raju.
The market fell heavily as the built up open position was huge that to in the absence of FII holiday it was built to hand over at higher prices was belied due to the un-expected fiasco at Satyam. The important FII investors resorted for selling at the day’s low price fore tells that they are serious to sell INDIA. The experts are revealing that there are more companies to be micro-scoped for facts rather than accepting.
In case Nifty fails to cross 2957-60 and the low breaches 2812-16 level, then the serious consequences are built in the system. The big names of Indian industry will be doubted for sure and their current valuations will be corrected accordingly.
….The markets are enjoying the short covering support above 3080 level. The
earlier suggested levels for ICICI Bank and Relcap were archived but the up move
could be a result of short covering. Now the markets are in bull grip as the
momentum was not dried to fall. The Nifty is good above 3100 level and RIL god
above 1329-31 level. The SBI is good above 1350 and weak below 1330-26 level.
The sudden change in the direction of Bharti to 650 level from its 720 level
despite the 24.41 lakh shares acquiring by Indian Continent Investment Ltd in an
off market deal. In case Bharti falls below 610 then a serious correction of
20-25% on the cards. The NTPC, ONGC, ITC, Bharti, and Cipla are likely to lead
the fall incase Nifty closes below 3030 level.
…..The SBI, ONGC, Bharti and Reliance are becoming weak but just moving up with unease. The Infosys results and the fiasco of Satyam can impact the sentiment. The Reliance is good above and can touch 1330-1350 range but the resistance at 1372 is crucial.The ONGC is one of the weakest face resistances at 693-97 level and at 717-20 level.The SBI is the best chart to observe has resistance at 1380-83 level but has good support at 1218-22 level. The Bharti is being in the accumulation phase. The
well drawn boundaries for it are 749 at the higher side and the 650-60 level is
at the lower-side. The DLF made a second trial to stay above 305 but the real
test it faces at 326-30 level but a clear bottom building is happening at 220-16
level. The immediate support level existed at 260-66 level. In view of the RCOM
plans and the future 3G auction it built a bottom at 187-93 level and the second
level in the process at 221-226.
Wednesday, January 07, 2009
The cemented move…
There was no change in the economic out look of the globe or any country in specific but the stocks are moving North. It is the beauty of the markets that it behaves in style and unique. For those who argue the ticker will be side lined to curse the fate or to make a point of discussion but the ticker will journey the designed course irrespective of the tag that was attached “bear market rally/huge short covering/ bull market in the making”.
The slow economic growth was not fully discounted across the globe. The Indian markets were no exception but the rally triggered after the expiry will take Nifty to 3280 level because of the crude hardening. The rise crude prices will strengthen the RIL, ONGC and RPL. The RIL may start production of KG basin resources.
The readers might have observed the Cement companies move that benefited the most in the Stimulus package-2. The markets are enjoying the short covering support above 3080 level. The earlier suggested levels for ICICI Bank and Relcap were achied but the up move could be a result of short covering.
Now the markets are in bull grip as the momentum was not dried to fall. The Nifty is good above 3100 level and RIL god above 1329-31 level. The SBI is good above 1350 and weak below 1330-26 level. The sudden change in the direction of Bharti to 650 level from its 720 level despite the 24.41 lakh shares acquiring by Indian Continent Investment Ltd in an off market deal. In case Bharti falls below 610 then a serios correction of 20-25% on the cards. The NTPC, ONGC, ITC, Bharti, and Cipla are likely to lead the fall incase Nifty closes below 3030 level.
The slow economic growth was not fully discounted across the globe. The Indian markets were no exception but the rally triggered after the expiry will take Nifty to 3280 level because of the crude hardening. The rise crude prices will strengthen the RIL, ONGC and RPL. The RIL may start production of KG basin resources.
The readers might have observed the Cement companies move that benefited the most in the Stimulus package-2. The markets are enjoying the short covering support above 3080 level. The earlier suggested levels for ICICI Bank and Relcap were achied but the up move could be a result of short covering.
Now the markets are in bull grip as the momentum was not dried to fall. The Nifty is good above 3100 level and RIL god above 1329-31 level. The SBI is good above 1350 and weak below 1330-26 level. The sudden change in the direction of Bharti to 650 level from its 720 level despite the 24.41 lakh shares acquiring by Indian Continent Investment Ltd in an off market deal. In case Bharti falls below 610 then a serios correction of 20-25% on the cards. The NTPC, ONGC, ITC, Bharti, and Cipla are likely to lead the fall incase Nifty closes below 3030 level.
Tuesday, January 06, 2009
The test of stimulation…..
The test of stimulation…..
Due to net failure at my end failed to publish but for record now….
The Nifty is good above 2860 and likely to stay above for some time. The immediate bad news is remote and the positive news keep flowing till the Nifty crosses 3250 and touch 3280 for stop-losses get triggered to clear the weak hands. In case the markets doesn’t find the required bottom push to scale up but still not weak for a free fall as the expectations from Obama is high. So the markets will swing between
2700-3100 to the weak results show and hopes of miracles from the future.
The local news will be adverse as the Govt. is preparing to put pressure on the PAK and their counter “war drama”. The PM will be busy in tackling the external/curbing terrorism could put the economic reforms on the backburner. The political equations will start demanding the “time & attention” as the April-May may heats up the capital.The SBI, ONGC, Bharti and Reliance are becoming weak but just moving up with unease. The Infosys results and the fiasco of Satyam can impact the sentiment.The Reliance is good above and can touch 1330-1350 range but the resistance at 1372 is crucial. The ONGC is one of the
weakest face resistances at 693-97 level and at 717-20 level.
The SBI is the best chart to observe has resistance at 1380-83 level but has good support at 1218-22 level.
The Bharti is being in the accumulation phase. The well drawn
boundaries for it are 749 at the higher side and the 650-60 level is at the
lower-side.The DLF made a second trial to stay above 305 but the real test it faces at 326-30 level but a clear bottom building is happening at 220-16 level. The immediate support level existed at 260-66 level.
In view of the RCOM plans and the future 3G auction it built a bottom at 187-93 level and the second level in the process at 221-226.
Sunday, January 04, 2009
The challenge ahead…..
The govt. announced stimulus package-2 was short of satisfaction as there was more room left to do and the govt. announced that the doors were closed for now till the new financial accounting year begins. So the domestic financial and major policy measures are announced except the 3G auction. The international news and the global indices will be in the drivers’ seat as the new govt. in US will determine the next course of action.
The RBI announced policy measures will carry a positive start on Monday unless the Asian markets open deep in red. The banking sector has been waiting and the rates cuts were already factored in the bank stocks. This can be seen as the HDFC has failed to cross the resistance at 1560 level and the SBI took long time to trade above 1335-39 level. The reality sector though raised on big hopes were belied as the 20 lakh bracket was not raised to 30 lakhs is a big set back as the demand and profitability was in and above that 30 lakhs. The Monday trades can change the direction but for now the banks may look South.
The package has unilaterally given benefit to cement companies and to the logistic sector that can afford to buy. The IIFCL will spur the demand but not immediately. The IDFC and PFC are cautious on the demand as the industry is not jubilant to spend on BOLT projects.
The duty cuts on steel products have negative impact on the sagging industry. The reality sector that uses longs gets the benefit and will form a cap on raising the prices due to demand revival by the steel industry.
The overall balancing act by the Govt. will keep the Nifty crawling but not a break-out shoot up with this stimulus and monetary measures.
The RBI announced policy measures will carry a positive start on Monday unless the Asian markets open deep in red. The banking sector has been waiting and the rates cuts were already factored in the bank stocks. This can be seen as the HDFC has failed to cross the resistance at 1560 level and the SBI took long time to trade above 1335-39 level. The reality sector though raised on big hopes were belied as the 20 lakh bracket was not raised to 30 lakhs is a big set back as the demand and profitability was in and above that 30 lakhs. The Monday trades can change the direction but for now the banks may look South.
The package has unilaterally given benefit to cement companies and to the logistic sector that can afford to buy. The IIFCL will spur the demand but not immediately. The IDFC and PFC are cautious on the demand as the industry is not jubilant to spend on BOLT projects.
The duty cuts on steel products have negative impact on the sagging industry. The reality sector that uses longs gets the benefit and will form a cap on raising the prices due to demand revival by the steel industry.
The overall balancing act by the Govt. will keep the Nifty crawling but not a break-out shoot up with this stimulus and monetary measures.
The stimulus too…
The govt. announced stimulus package-2 has also failed to lure the industry, so will be the market. The Govt. is looking for a long-term sustainable action where as the markets are interested in immediate benefits to see the sentiment revived. The strong hands are interested in long gestation period of rise with intermittent sharp rally where the reverse is true with the small investor.
The RBI announced a rate cut of 50 bps in CRR and 100bps for Repo and Reverse Repo to release nearly 20,000 crores in to the system. The GOI simultaneously announced liberalized ECB norms that can benefit the big reality players and some measures in customs duty to curb the free flow of cement from the neighboring countries. This will benefit the cement companies those were strapped to a fixed price for more than 2½ years. This will have a counter effect on the construction companies already surviving on thin margins were given credit but not the profits.
The real worry for now to next 3 quarters is the demand contraction. The seriousness of economic worries will hit the head lines when the demand contraction in the domestic markets face. The Indian economy is growing on the export fillip despite a large domestic demand existing. Now the challenge is that the exports will be seriously getting affected days to come and the supply glut will impact the purchasing interest of the consumer.
The net-net the Indian economy will see troubled months a head but this period can be considered as a “capacity building opportunity” by the big industry houses.
The RBI announced a rate cut of 50 bps in CRR and 100bps for Repo and Reverse Repo to release nearly 20,000 crores in to the system. The GOI simultaneously announced liberalized ECB norms that can benefit the big reality players and some measures in customs duty to curb the free flow of cement from the neighboring countries. This will benefit the cement companies those were strapped to a fixed price for more than 2½ years. This will have a counter effect on the construction companies already surviving on thin margins were given credit but not the profits.
The real worry for now to next 3 quarters is the demand contraction. The seriousness of economic worries will hit the head lines when the demand contraction in the domestic markets face. The Indian economy is growing on the export fillip despite a large domestic demand existing. Now the challenge is that the exports will be seriously getting affected days to come and the supply glut will impact the purchasing interest of the consumer.
The net-net the Indian economy will see troubled months a head but this period can be considered as a “capacity building opportunity” by the big industry houses.
The stimulus too…
The govt. announced stimulus package-2 has also failed to lure the industry, so will be the market. The Govt. is looking for a long-term sustainable action where as the markets are interested in immediate benefits to see the sentiment revived. The strong hands are interested in long gestation period of rise with intermittent sharp rally where the reverse is true with the small investor.
The RBI announced a rate cut of 50 bps in CRR and 100bps for Repo and Reverse Repo to release nearly 20,000 crores in to the system. The GOI simultaneously announced liberalized ECB norms that can benefit the big reality players and some measures in customs duty to curb the free flow of cement from the neighboring countries. This will benefit the cement companies those were strapped to a fixed price for more than 2½ years. This will have a counter effect on the construction companies already surviving on thin margins were given credit but not the profits.
The real worry for now to next 3 quarters is the demand contraction. The seriousness of economic worries will hit the head lines when the demand contraction in the domestic markets face. The Indian economy is growing on the export fillip despite a large domestic demand existing. Now the challenge is that the exports will be seriously getting affected days to come and the supply glut will impact the purchasing interest of the consumer.
The net-net the Indian economy will see troubled months a head but this period can be considered as a “capacity building opportunity” by the big industry houses.
Thursday, January 01, 2009
HAPPY NEW YEAR
Wish You Happy and Prosperous NEW YEAR - 2009
"THE NEW YEAR WILL BRING WEALTH, HEALTH & PEACE TO EVERY ONE"
B.NAGESWARA RAO
Tuesday, December 30, 2008
The strength gained….
As posted in the morning the Nifty took support at 2899 crossed the resistance of 2983-86 and registered a high of 2999 but closed at 2980 level. The SBI registered a low at 1259.60 and the ICICI touched a high at 464.85. The DLF has made a high of 290 level and the Punj was stopped at 148 level.
The ONGC is offer was accepted by the Imperial energy stock holders. The IRDA has allowed more investments by insurance companies in Indian Infra structure projects is a big boost to the firms.
The ONGC is offer was accepted by the Imperial energy stock holders. The IRDA has allowed more investments by insurance companies in Indian Infra structure projects is a big boost to the firms.
Nifty is having good support at 2860 level and the resistance at 2983-86 level.
The Reliance has support at 1220-23 level good so long it trades above 1235 and
in Bulls grip above 1245 level.
The SBI is good above 1256 and will face
resistance at 1297-93 and at 1320 level. The ICICI is shuttling between 403 to
460 level. The stock will cross the resistance and trades above 465 then look
for 525-30 range from where the banks will see steep correction.
The
reality& infra move in the past 10 days has exhausted and the correction put
them in trading range. The DLF is still in Bulls grip but the stock is good
above 293 level and weak below 271. The Punjlloyd took support at 136 level may
face serious resistance at 151-53 level.
The wait and watch ….
The year end move is positive as the markets took support at 2812 level bounced back to cross the resistance at 2930 level but the real challenge is that the markets are facing very strong resistance at this moment at 3030 level. The markets are surviving on low volumes in the frontline counters. The geo-political tensions are easing as the negotiations are heading for a solution as the super power US and the UK are putting pressure on PAK, seems threatened that the economic sanctions could be levied.
The saga of Satyam continued to be brutal bruise to investors especially the retail small investors who put their faith. The planned exit of Raju is most worrying to worrying than the corporate administration.
The Nifty is having good support at 2860 level and the resistance at 2983-86 level. The Reliance has support at 1220-23 level good so long it trades above 1235 and in Bulls grip above 1245 level.
The SBI is good above 1256 and will face resistance at 1297-93 and at 1320 level. The ICICI is shuttling between 403 to 460 level. The stock will cross the resistance and trades above 465 then look for 525-30 range from where the banks will see steep correction.
The reality& infra move in the past 10 days has exhausted and the correction put them in trading range. The DLF is still in Bulls grip but the stock is good above 293 level and weak below 271. The Punjlloyd took support at 136 level may face serious resistance at 151-53 level.
The saga of Satyam continued to be brutal bruise to investors especially the retail small investors who put their faith. The planned exit of Raju is most worrying to worrying than the corporate administration.
The Nifty is having good support at 2860 level and the resistance at 2983-86 level. The Reliance has support at 1220-23 level good so long it trades above 1235 and in Bulls grip above 1245 level.
The SBI is good above 1256 and will face resistance at 1297-93 and at 1320 level. The ICICI is shuttling between 403 to 460 level. The stock will cross the resistance and trades above 465 then look for 525-30 range from where the banks will see steep correction.
The reality& infra move in the past 10 days has exhausted and the correction put them in trading range. The DLF is still in Bulls grip but the stock is good above 293 level and weak below 271. The Punjlloyd took support at 136 level may face serious resistance at 151-53 level.
Thursday, December 25, 2008
MERRY CHRISTMAS….
WISH YOU A HAPPY & CHEERFULL “CHRISTMAS”.
MAY THIS CHRISTMAS BRING WEALTH, HEALTH AND PEACE TO ONE & ALL.
Tuesday, December 23, 2008
The security concerns…
Both the countries are equipped with nuclear technology heading for a collision can draw catastrophic results. The efforts of India are yielding results as the international pressures are mounting on Pak Govt. and local political uncertainties are placing that country in a fix.
The strength of markets can be gain when the dark clouds of war ceases. The Nifty is facing resistance at 3100 level but 3030-3026 level holds good for yesterday may be challenged to day because the RIL fell below 1315 support level. The HDFC and HDFC bank are driving south wards. The markets may hold in tight band till the expiry.
The Nifty is good above 3076-79 level which will become a resistance and the support for this day could be at 2961-63 level. The SBI is holding above 1265 is good, DLF is good above 296 and ONGC above 694. In case these trade below their support level and RIL below 1296 level is a clear sign of Bear grip over the markets. The HDFC is weak below 1532 and minor support at 1410-12 level. The HDFC Bank is weak below 1036 level and support at 930-32 level.
The strength of markets can be gain when the dark clouds of war ceases. The Nifty is facing resistance at 3100 level but 3030-3026 level holds good for yesterday may be challenged to day because the RIL fell below 1315 support level. The HDFC and HDFC bank are driving south wards. The markets may hold in tight band till the expiry.
The Nifty is good above 3076-79 level which will become a resistance and the support for this day could be at 2961-63 level. The SBI is holding above 1265 is good, DLF is good above 296 and ONGC above 694. In case these trade below their support level and RIL below 1296 level is a clear sign of Bear grip over the markets. The HDFC is weak below 1532 and minor support at 1410-12 level. The HDFC Bank is weak below 1036 level and support at 930-32 level.
Monday, December 22, 2008
The Air strike ?…
The Air strike by India has become immense importance to curb the terrorist activities of POK based organizations. The wait and watch approach strengthens the extremists. The peace loving nature shall bring friends but this attitude dilutes with the foes, take advantage of the good feeling to weakness. The markets like the move that lights our spirits however strong we argue on the impairments of war to humanity.
The Nifty is loosing momentum as the heavy weights like RIL, ICICI, ONGC and other counters of telecos. The recent momentum counters are Relcap, Rel infra, HUL and DLF hold the value and not good to be trapped by selling.
At this point the markets have good support at 2961-63 level. So the markets are strong for the Bulls and be with them for short period incase RIL cross the resistance at 1415-18 level or shorts built if it trades below 1315-18.
The Nifty is loosing momentum as the heavy weights like RIL, ICICI, ONGC and other counters of telecos. The recent momentum counters are Relcap, Rel infra, HUL and DLF hold the value and not good to be trapped by selling.
At this point the markets have good support at 2961-63 level. So the markets are strong for the Bulls and be with them for short period incase RIL cross the resistance at 1415-18 level or shorts built if it trades below 1315-18.
Saturday, December 20, 2008
The Bears gain strength...
As posted earlier the markets reached a reasonable level from where the Bears take advantage to short the market. The final leg of 100-150 points of Nifty is an advantage to off load the stock to retail investor as the markets are ready to face the slow down numbers more wildly than before. The Inflation is no longer an issue but reviving the staggered investment plans and fear to face the future in the corporate minds is the real challenge. The markets will see the dwindling profit margins and “Put On Hold”- expansion plans, then the markets see….
The fight for survival…..3*12
The day displayed a strong fight for survival of the market at 2650 level.
As posted earlier the high light of the day is the smart recovery of SBI to
close above 1085. The RIL is struggling to gain strength to move up but it displayed a decent fight against the Bears. The ONGC and Bharti were subdued despite good effort by the Banking lot to move up. The star of the day is Tata Steel posted 10% rise with huge volume and the DLF made equal volume with good show to cross the 191-93 resistance.The LIC Housing along and SUN gave above 20% rise in the non index shares is a clear sign of shuffling and choosing the future out performers. The techs lost the sheen due to foreign brokerage house CLSA report dented the growth in share rise, Infosys chopped
down by 4.3% Wipro TCS and Satyam were no exception.The teleco lost value by 3-5% but the autos recovered on short covering. The Banking sector posted decent gains on the hopes of fall in inflation that can force the Central bank to take an early decision on rate cuts. The Nifty is at cross roads and waiting for break out. In case the RIL fails to cross the 1093 level and trades below 1040-35 then the markets will easily touch the 2000-2100 level with out much resistance from Bulls.
The SBI gained but the RIL, ONGC and Bharti are in negative territory with new members from tech sector. The Nifty is weak below 2670-80 level but gain strength above 2705-11 that can fuel fire in Bulls to
trap the Bears to cover their positions. In case BHEL and LT recovers then there was some glimmer of hope in the capital goods and Infrastructure sector that build due to the NHAI announcements.Recovery but weak…..2*12
The markets took the support once it touched the low at 2571
level and it managed to claw back to close at 2657 level a much needed support to Nifty above 2630 level and the weakness in RIL and ONGC is a great concern at this point in time.The Australia cut the lending rates by 100 bps and our top brass discussing for the timing. The stimulus package announced to has some
bearing on Infrastructure companies but the release of funds and the cost that matters a lot at this hour. The SEBI announcement of margin facility to all participants can improve the sentiment as the news flow infavour of Bull can propel the momentum in the Nifty levels back to 2800 levels.In case the resistance at 2750 level crossed with ease, close above 2735-42 will add value to Bulls efforts. The bears will cover the positions as the positive news unfolds as progress progresses and the Nifty may touch again 3280-3300 level with short covering.
The only threatening concern unfolding is the verbal war with neighbours on Mumbai blasts can easily change the direction in case the situation provoked for a war on the terrorist camps.
The RIL has to cross the 1120 level, SBI has to cross the 1085 level and ONGC has to trade above 705level to see the Nifty to scale for new territory above 2860 level.
Friday, December 19, 2008
A classic formation….
The Nifty has made a classic formation in the last 7 trading sessions from 10th to 18th Dec. The 10th, 11th and 12th highs were as 2940, 2945 and 2937. The lows of 16th, 17th and 18th were 2963, 2943 and 2922. I noticed the averages worked out at 2940-42 level which is quite supportive above 2935 level I wrote in my previous posts.
It is evident that the markets likely to cross 3285 level so long it trades above 2930 level. The bull move cannot be negated until Nifty closes below 2860. The same formation is formed with the front line heavy weights.
It is evident that the markets likely to cross 3285 level so long it trades above 2930 level. The bull move cannot be negated until Nifty closes below 2860. The same formation is formed with the front line heavy weights.
Thursday, December 18, 2008
The consolidation…
As suggested yesterday the market took a knock in the last one hour breaking the immediate support at 3010 level to touch 2940 level due to selling in the heavy weights. The markets are now in consolidation mode. The charts suggest that the support may emerge when the Nifty touches 2750 level. Today the support is expected at 286163 level and the resistance at 2993 and at 3011-13 level.
The Reliance is the early morning south runner but could hold the level at 1350 through out the day with 10-15 rupees swing. The higher level above 1390 could be a daunting task for now as the crude is in free fall. The ONGC will also see some knock today.
The HUL rally from 236 level to 256 level is heartening to bulls as the sole warrior survived in this Bears onslaught. Now the ICICI bank may loose some gains made yesterday, become weak below 432-31 level due to the selling pressure in the index counters. The earlier posts suggested good above 429 level holds good once again when it takes a U turn from the support levels at 406 and 393 level. Then the counter may cross the 490 level and could touch 520-25 level without much resistance. The NTPC is at the distribution mode at the higher level may see a correction of 20% from 166 level when it closes below that level.
The story of techs to our blog readers is quite evident and the worst victim of the frustration is Satyam. The bounce from 150 level to 203-05 is good to exit as it has tarnished it good image. The long-term selling is expected unless the company and the top investor come with rescue measures by announcing some important acquisitions above 500 million dollars to keep the earnings stream in tact.
The Reliance is the early morning south runner but could hold the level at 1350 through out the day with 10-15 rupees swing. The higher level above 1390 could be a daunting task for now as the crude is in free fall. The ONGC will also see some knock today.
The HUL rally from 236 level to 256 level is heartening to bulls as the sole warrior survived in this Bears onslaught. Now the ICICI bank may loose some gains made yesterday, become weak below 432-31 level due to the selling pressure in the index counters. The earlier posts suggested good above 429 level holds good once again when it takes a U turn from the support levels at 406 and 393 level. Then the counter may cross the 490 level and could touch 520-25 level without much resistance. The NTPC is at the distribution mode at the higher level may see a correction of 20% from 166 level when it closes below that level.
The story of techs to our blog readers is quite evident and the worst victim of the frustration is Satyam. The bounce from 150 level to 203-05 is good to exit as it has tarnished it good image. The long-term selling is expected unless the company and the top investor come with rescue measures by announcing some important acquisitions above 500 million dollars to keep the earnings stream in tact.
Tuesday, December 16, 2008
The Maddoff..Losses...
The troubled assets due Maddoff deal could spill cascading effect as the days pass by. The market is surging to absorb the good news coupled with short covering. The markets are trading above the immediate support level at 2935 well above that level close despite of the momentum in the upwards has reduced considerably.
The positive side of the up move is that the RIL touched the 1395 level well above the 1356 resistance level. The rebound of the ONGC above 694 level cross the resistance above 705 is a favourable sign. The slow down sectors paid much lower advance taxes reflects the slowing growth and business expansion may pull down the indices by 200 points to 2700-2800 level.The advancement of Bharti, NTPC, ITC and HUL will yield to selling pressure apart from the RPL and RIL.
The positive side of the up move is that the RIL touched the 1395 level well above the 1356 resistance level. The rebound of the ONGC above 694 level cross the resistance above 705 is a favourable sign. The slow down sectors paid much lower advance taxes reflects the slowing growth and business expansion may pull down the indices by 200 points to 2700-2800 level.The advancement of Bharti, NTPC, ITC and HUL will yield to selling pressure apart from the RPL and RIL.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)
